Are mobile web apps a passing fancy or here to stay?

Today I use a ton of applications on my iPhone to get the full experience of online services/sites like Facebook, Amazon, LinkedIn, Wikipedia and others. But the beauty of the web (at least on the PC) is that you don’t need to download software in most cases to get a full, awesome experience. I can just log into eBay and start trading stuff; I don’t have to wait for a download to get going.

But on the mobile phone it’s different. To get the best experience I need to hit the app store and download something. It’s a like a weird step backwards from the point where anyone could easily use any site with a browser (from your PC) without downloading software to a place where each site has its own special software that requires a download and install.

Gartner is forecasting that mobile devices will be the #1 access vehicle for the web by 2013. It’s a pretty aggressive projection, but one that is totally valid when you consider that many consumers and small businesses in developing nations will never own a PC and will go straight to smart phones.

According to MediaPost:

Gartner estimates the combined installed base of smartphones and browser-equipped enhanced phones will surpass 1.82 billion units by 2013, eclipsing the total of 1.78 billion PCs by then.

But the firm warns that many sites still are not optimized for the mobile Web, even though cell users expect to make fewer clicks on their phones than on a PC. To successfully expand into mobile, publishers will have to reformat sites from the small form-factor of handheld devices.

I totally buy this argument. While one can quibble around the exact number of mobile devices vs. PCs, there is a clear and obvious trend that mobile devices are becoming an important secondary, and to a lot of people, the primary web access device.

So I wonder - will web sites just automatically be optimized for mobile viewing, or will the “app” become even more important? Is this whole app thing for using online services a real of “de-evolution” of the web - or a mere blip before mobile browsers and bandwidth become powerful enough to support the real web experience? What do people think, are mobile web apps here to say or just a strange passing fancy?

Bookmark and Share